The
											Climate 
											Forecast Applications (CFA) for 
											Disaster Mitigation Program, 
											supported by USAID’s Office of 
											Foreign Disaster Assistance (USAID/OFDA), 
											aims to develop locally-appropriate 
											climate information tools and 
											capacity for
											Indonesia 
											and the Philippines in order to 
											mitigate the impacts of 
											hydro-meteorological hazards.  The 
											program employs a two-tiered 
											approach:  1) carrying out targeted 
											demonstration projects to explore 
											and refine methods, and 2) 
											identifying and stimulating national 
											capacities to scale up the 
											application of methods so that they 
											can be applied elsewhere.  The Asian 
											Disaster Preparedness Center (ADPC) 
											has been implementing the program 
											since 2003 with participation of the 
											countries’ hydro-meteorological 
											services, agriculture and water 
											resource departments, local 
											governments, universities, 
											community-based organizations, local 
											water resource managers and 
											farmers.    
											
											
											In May 2007, the CFA 
											Program was expanded to include 
											Timor-Leste.  The CFA project in 
											Timor-Leste aims to establish an 
											end-to-end institutional system for 
											managing climate risks in 
											agriculture through:
											
												- 
												
												
												The development 
												of an institutional mechanism 
												for the delivery, 
												interpretation, translation, 
												communication and application of 
												locally-specific climate 
												forecast information
 
												- 
												
												
												Capacity building 
												of intermediary institutions and 
												end users, through training and 
												demonstration, in 1) the  
												assessment  of  potential  
												impacts  based  on season-ahead 
												forecast information, 2) 
												preparation of response options, 
												3) communication of 
												climate-related risks to farmers 
												and other end users, and 4) 
												application of seasonal climate 
												forecast information for 
												managing climate-related risks
 
												- 
												
												
												Demonstration of 
												the application of 
												locally-specific climate 
												forecast information in select 
												sites to mitigate the impacts of 
												hydro-meteorological hazards at 
												the household level.
 
											
											
											
											
											Opportunities for 
											Climate Forecast Applications 
											
											
											 
											
											
											Timor-Leste has six 
											agro-climatic zones:  the northern 
											lowlands, northern slopes, northern 
											highlands, southern lowlands, 
											southern slopes and southern 
											highlands.  The northern areas, with 
											normal annual rainfall below 1,000 
											mm, are prone to drought.  The 30% 
											drop in production in 2007 is 
											attributed to drought.  Recent 
											drought years are 1997-98, 
											2002-2003, 2004-2005 and 2006-2007.  
											Flashfloods also occur, caused by 
											heavy rains falling on steep 
											slopes.  Suai was most affected in 
											2004.   
											
											
											In close 
											collaboration with key institutions 
											in East Timor, we are currently 
											exploring different opportunities 
											for climate forecast applications, 
											including:   
											
											
											
											
											
											Key partners 
											
											
											We 
											have been engaging the following 
											institutions to become involved in 
											program implementation. 
											
												- 
												
												
												CARE International in 
												Timor-Leste 
 
												- 
												
												
												Food and Agriculture 
												Organization of the United 
												Nations 
 
												- 
												
												
												National Directorate for 
												Meteorology and Geophysics
												
 
												- 
												
												
												National Directorate of Water 
												Resources Management 
												 
												- 
												
												
												National Directorate for 
												Disaster Management 
												 
												- 
												
												
												Ministry of Agriculture, 
												Forestry and Fisheries 
												
 
												- 
												
												
												World Food Programme