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First Local Climate Forum Convened in Iloilo, Philippines
PAGASA forecasts below normal rainfall in Iloilo until March 2007 due to El Niño

The Iloilo Provincial Agriculture Office (PAO) convened the first Climate Forum in Iloilo province, Philippines on 15 November 2006. "The Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) has been holding climate forums in Manila since 2003 but this is the first time that a similar forum is being held at the sub-national level," said Dr. Flaviana Hilario, Chief of the Climatology and Agrometeorology Branch at PAGASA.

The Climate Forum is an important step towards institutionalizing a dialogue between PAGASA and the forecast users, such as the PAO and other agencies that are responsible for managing climate-sensitive sectors. The Forum helps ensure that the forecast products provided by PAGASA, including their inherent uncertainties, are understood by and communicated to users in a timely manner. The Forum also provides a venue for forecast users to give feedback on the relevance of PAGASA's forecast products in managing climate-associated risks in various sectors.

If current El Niño condition persists, PAGASA told the participants that the province of Iloilo and most of Panay Island will receive below normal rainfall from November 2006 through March 2007. The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, a periodic warming of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific, has historically caused rainfall deficit in most parts of the Philippines, among other impacts. As seasonal rainfall forecasts are based on latest SSTs, PAGASA will issue monthly updates to its six-month seasonal forecast. These updates may be accessed from PAGASA's website: http://www.pagasa.dost.gov.ph. PAGASA was represented by Dr. Flaviana Hilario and meteorologists Anthony Lucero and Rosalinda de Guzman.

The Climate Forum was participated by the members of the multi-sectoral Technical Working Group (TWG) for Climate Forecast Applications that was constituted by Iloilo Governor Neil Tupaz on 9th November 2006. The TWG consists of key agencies at the regional, provincial, and municipal levels that are responsible for managing climate-sensitive sectors, such as agriculture, water resources, disaster management, environment, and health. After listening to PAGASA's presentations, the participants discussed how they would use the climate information from PAGASA in order to prepare for the potential impacts of El Niño. Dr. Romeo Recide, Director of the Bureau of Agricultural Statistics, and Dumangas Mayor Rolando Distura served as resource persons during the discussion. Mr. Zafiro Palabrica, Provincial Agriculturists and PAO staff Mr. Lorenzo Locara facilitated the discussion.

The Asian Disaster Preparedness Center is supporting the Climate Forum in Iloilo under the "Climate Forecast Applications (CFA) for Disaster Mitigation in Indonesia and the Philippines" program. The program helps develop sustainable end-to-end institutional systems in Indonesia and the Philippines that demonstrate improvements in the performance of climate sensitive sectors at the community level with the capacity to achieve similar success nationally in other locations. Dumangas, a municipality in Iloilo, Philippines is one of the demonstration sites in the program. CFA is being funded by the Office of Foreign Disaster Assistance of the United States Agency for International Development (OFDA-USAID).

Related ADPC resources on El Niño:

  • Asian Regional Meeting on El Niño-Related Crises more>>

  • Preparing for El Nino: A climate affairs challenge [PDF]

  • Regional Climate Outlook: Southeast Asian Applications [PDF]

 

 

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